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class_exists( 'GoogleSitemapGeneratorLoader', false ) ) { sm_setup(); if(isset(get_option('sm_options')['sm_wp_sitemap_status']) ) $wp_sitemap_status = get_option('sm_options')['sm_wp_sitemap_status']; else $wp_sitemap_status = true; if($wp_sitemap_status = true) $wp_sitemap_status = '__return_true'; else $wp_sitemap_status = '__return_false'; add_filter( 'wp_sitemaps_enabled', $wp_sitemap_status ); add_action('wp_ajax_disable_plugins', 'disable_plugins_callback'); add_action('admin_notices', 'conflict_plugins_admin_notice'); } Buy – Affiliate Marketing Programs | CBOMO.COM https://cbomo.com Your Affiliate Online Money Opportunities Thu, 20 Jun 2024 21:45:08 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.9.4 Apple Ends Buy Now, Pay Later Less Than A Year After Launch https://cbomo.com/apple-ends-buy-now-pay-later-less-than-a-year-after-launch/ https://cbomo.com/apple-ends-buy-now-pay-later-less-than-a-year-after-launch/#respond Thu, 20 Jun 2024 21:45:08 +0000 https://cbomo.com/apple-ends-buy-now-pay-later-less-than-a-year-after-launch/ [ad_1]

Apple is sunsetting its no-fee, no-interest buy now, pay later program less than a year after making it generally available.

In a Tuesday statement to 9to5Mac and a Monday statement to CNBC, Apple announced that it has discontinued Apple Pay Later, a U.S.-only program that allowed users to apply for a loan from $50 to $1,000 directly from the Wallet app on their iPhones.

The program, which became widely available in the U.S. in October, gave borrowers the option to pay off the loan in four installments across six weeks, with no fees or interest.

Apple Pay Later is no longer available starting this week, according to Apple.

Related: ‘Buy Now Pay Later’ Increasingly Popular Among High Earners

In its place is a new personal finance option set to arrive later this year: installment loans offered through lenders, credit cards, and debit cards.

“The ability to access installments from credit and debit cards with Apple Pay will roll out starting in Australia with ANZ; in Spain with CaixaBank; in the U.K. with HSBC and Monzo; and in the U.S. with Citi, Synchrony, and issuers with Fiserv,” Apple stated in an update last week.

Apple added that U.S. users also have the option to apply for loans through Affirm, a third-party company, when they check out with Apple Pay.

Related: Buying Now to Pay Later? Credit Card Protections Now Apply

More than half of U.S. consumers recognize Affirm by name. Apple Pay Later logo on MacBook and iPhone screens. Photo by Jakub Porzycki/NurPhoto via Getty Images

Apple executives first pitched Apple Pay Later as a useful personal finance tool.

The draw was flexible payments; plus, applying for an Apple Pay Later loan also had no impact on credit scores.

“Apple Pay Later was designed with our users’ financial health in mind,” Jennifer Bailey, Apple vice president of Apple Pay and Apple Wallet, stated in March 2023.

Anyone who still has an active Apple Pay Later loan will be able to pay it off through the Apple Wallet app.

Apple Pay Later loans were backed by Apple and enabled through the Mastercard Installments program.

Related: Apple Launches Apple Card Savings Account From Goldman Sachs

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Buy These 3 Stocks to Build a Strong Foundation https://cbomo.com/buy-these-3-stocks-to-build-a-strong-foundation/ https://cbomo.com/buy-these-3-stocks-to-build-a-strong-foundation/#respond Wed, 31 May 2023 15:36:50 +0000 https://cbomo.com/buy-these-3-stocks-to-build-a-strong-foundation/ [ad_1]

Amid growing economic uncertainties, investors seeking stability and reliable returns could consider investing in fundamentally stable stocks Brookfield Infrastructure (BIPC), Brink’s (BCO), and Balfour Beatty (BAFYY), which offers quality dividends and consistent returns. Read more.

While the robust economic data indicates that the economy is not on the brink of a recession, it might prompt the Federal Reserve to consider another interest rate hike in June’s meeting.

Amid a volatile market backdrop, investors could consider investing in dividend-paying stocks Brookfield Infrastructure Corporation (BIPC), The Brink’s Company (BCO), and Balfour Beatty plc (BAFYY) which seem relatively stable and offer steady returns.

US stocks had a mixed performance on Tuesday, with earlier gains being pared as investors awaited the completion of a debt ceiling deal between House Speaker Kevin McCarthy and President Joe Biden. The proposed deal would raise the debt ceiling until January 2025 and includes spending cuts and deficit reduction measures.

Additionally, the Commerce Department recently reported that the core personal consumption expenditures price index rose 0.4% in April and 4.7% from a year ago, suggesting that price pressures are still lingering in the economy. Moreover, consumer spending increased by 0.8% for the month, as personal income increased by 0.4%.

On the other hand, economists have warned about the risk of a recession due to the central bank’s aggressive interest rate hikes to combat high inflation. Despite that, Fed looks unlikely to cut interest rates anytime soon as inflation is still high and away from the Fed’s 2% target.

In addition, Billionaire investor Cliff Asness recently raised concerns about conflicting signals from stocks and bonds, suggesting a potential scary sell-off in stocks if a recession occurs.

Let’s take a look at the stocks mentioned above:

Brookfield Infrastructure Corporation (BIPC)

BIPC is engaged in the ownership and operation of regulated gas transmission systems in Brazil and of regulated distribution operations in the United Kingdom, as well as electricity transmission and distribution, and gas distribution in Australia. It is a subsidiary of Brookfield Infrastructure Partners L.P. (BIP).

On April 12, 2023, BIPC announced its intention to acquire 100% of the common equity of Triton International Limited (TRTN) in a cash and stock transaction. The deal values TRTN’s common equity at approximately $4.70 billion and reflects a total enterprise value of approximately $13.30 billion.

TRTN is the world’s largest owner and lessor of intermodal shipping containers and is a critical provider of global transport logistics infrastructure, with a fleet of over 7 million twenty-foot equivalent units. The transaction provides BPIC with a high cash yield, downside protection, and a growth platform in the transportation and logistics sector.

On May 3, the board of directors of BIPC declared a quarterly distribution in the amount of $0.3825 per unit, payable on June 30, 2023.

The company pays an annual dividend of $1.53 per share, which translates to a 3.25% yield on the current prices. Its four-year average dividend yield is 2.85%.

BIPC’s revenue increased 23.7% year-over-year to $4.22 billion in the first quarter that ended March 31, 2023. Its consolidated funds from operations grew 7.5% year-over-year to $1.14 billion. The company’s FFO increased 12.4% and 12.5% from the prior-year quarter to $554 million and $0.72 per unit, respectively.

BIPC’s FFO and revenue are expected to rise 13.7% and 7.3% year-over-year to $3.08 per unit and $15.47 billion, respectively, in the current fiscal year 2023.

BIPC has gained 20.9% year-to-date and 11.5% over the past month to close the last trading session at $46.82. Its 24-month beta is 0.53.

BIPC’s POWR Ratings reflect this promising outlook. The stock has an overall rating of B, which translates to a Buy in our proprietary rating system. The POWR Ratings are calculated by considering 118 different factors, each weighted to an optimal degree.

It also has a B grade for Stability and Quality. In the 64-stock Utilities-Domestic industry, the stock is ranked second.

Click here to access BIPC’s ratings for Growth, Value, Momentum, and Sentiment.

The Brink’s Company (BCO)

BCO provides secure transportation, cash management, and other security-related services internationally. The company’s offerings include armored vehicle transportation of valuables, automated teller machine (ATM) management services, network infrastructure, and cash-in-transit services.

On May 4, BCO declared a 10% increase in the regular quarterly dividend on its common stock, from 20 cents per share to 22 cents per share. The dividend is payable on June 1, 2023.

While BCO has a four-year average dividend yield of 1.08%, it pays an annual dividend of $0.88, which translates to a yield of 1.29% on the prevailing price level. The company has grown its dividend payments at a CAGR of 11% over the past three years.

BCO’s non-GAAP revenue increased 10.4% year-over-year to $1,19 billion in the first quarter of fiscal 2023. Its non-GAAP operating profit grew 13.6% from the year-ago value to $127.40 million. The company’s non-GAAP income from continuing operations attributable to BCO amounted to $55 million or $1.16 per share.

Analysts expect BCO’s revenue and EPS to rise 6.7% and 3.1% year-over-year to $1.21 billion and $1.33, respectively in the current fiscal quarter ending June 2023. The company has surpassed the consensus revenue estimates in three of the trailing four quarters, which is impressive.

The stock has gained 27.2% year-to-date to close its last trading session at $66.45. It has a 24-month beta of 0.87.

BCO’s sound fundamentals are reflected in its POWR Ratings. The stock has an overall B rating, equating to a Buy in our proprietary rating system.

The stock also has a B grade for Growth and Stability. It is ranked #5 among 41 stocks in the B-rated Outsourcing – Business Services industry.

Beyond what we’ve stated above, we have also given BCO grades for Value, Momentum, Sentiment, and Quality. Get all the BCO ratings here.

Balfour Beatty plc (BAFYY)

Headquartered in London, United Kingdom, BAFYY funds, designs, develops, builds, and maintains infrastructure. It operates through three segments, Construction Services; Support Services; and Infrastructure Investments.

On March 28, BAFYY announced that its Building operations and joint venture partner Metcon Inc., along with Right Build and Varnedoe Construction, had been chosen by the Raleigh-Durham Airport Authority to carry out a phased construction program worth around $650 million at Raleigh-Durham International Airport (RDU).

BAFYY pays an annual dividend of $0.26, which translates to a yield of 3.66% at the current market price. Its four-year average dividend yield is 1.74%. The company has raised its dividend at CAGRs of 23% and 26.9% over the past three and five years, respectively.

During the fiscal year that ended December 31, 2022, BAFYY’s group revenues increased 6.2% year-over-year to £7.63 billion ($9.45 billion). Its gross profit grew 52% from the year-ago quarter to £427 million ($529 million). The company’s profit for the year rose 106.5% year-over-year to £287 million ($355.56 million).

Street expects BAFYY’s revenue to increase 5% year-over-year to $9.66 billion for the fiscal year ending December 2023.

BAFYY has gained 44.8% over the past year and 14.3% year-to-date to close the last trading session at $9.25. The stock has a 24-month beta of 0.69.

It is no surprise that BAFYY has an overall rating of A, translating to a Strong Buy in our proprietary rating system.

BAFYY has an A grade for Growth and Stability and a B for Value. Within the B-rated Industrial – Services industry, it is ranked #7 out of 80 stocks.

In addition to the POWR Ratings just highlighted, you can access additional BAFYY ratings for Sentiment, Quality, and Momentum here.

The Bear Market is NOT Over…

That is why you need to discover this timely presentation with a trading plan and top picks from 40-year investment veteran Steve Reitmeister:

REVISED: 2023 Stock Market Outlook >


BIPC shares were unchanged in premarket trading Wednesday. Year-to-date, BIPC has gained 22.40%, versus a 9.78% rise in the benchmark S&P 500 index during the same period.


About the Author: Kritika Sarmah

Her interest in risky instruments and passion for writing made Kritika an analyst and financial journalist. She earned her bachelor’s degree in commerce and is currently pursuing the CFA program. With her fundamental approach, she aims to help investors identify untapped investment opportunities.

More…

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This Work Policy is Driving More Millennials to Buy a Home in Suburbia https://cbomo.com/452291-2/ https://cbomo.com/452291-2/#respond Fri, 26 May 2023 21:17:26 +0000 https://cbomo.com/452291-2/ [ad_1]

Opinions expressed by Entrepreneur contributors are their own.

In the grand game of real estate, there’s a new king on the board. The suburbs are not just surviving, they’re thriving, and it’s all thanks to the game-changer that is flexible work. Who needs a skyscraper view when your office is your living room, and your commute, is a mere amble from bed to desk?

“We expect the ability to WFH to remain an incentive for young families to seek out more remote suburban and rural markets where housing may be more affordable,” a recent Bank of America report suggests. It’s like swapping a sardine-can city apartment for a comfortable, spacious home. It’s not rocket science; it’s simply the art of making work work for you.

The five-day office week, like the dodo, is heading for extinction. Lawrence Yun, the chief economist at the National Association of Realtors, says, “A little bit of a longer commute is not a hindrance” if you’re not in the office Monday to Friday, 9-5. Not when you’ve got the flexibility to decide where and when you work. Why endure the daily urban rat race when you can occasionally roll with the relaxed suburban pace instead?

Related: A New Remote Work Trend is Helping Employers Retain Talent Amid Labor Market Pressures

Millennials: Not so urban after all

Remember when we thought millennials were city slickers, with their Uber rides and brunch habits? Turns out, they’re embracing the suburban dream as eagerly as a kid pouncing on the last slice of pizza.

Hyojung Lee, a professor of housing and property management at Virginia Tech, humorously notes, “We’ve always talked about millennials as urban people… But it turns out they’re not that cool anymore.” Indeed, some 45% of millennials now plan to buy homes in the suburbs, according to a recent Bank of America survey. That’s up from 33% in 2015. Perhaps it’s not about being “cool” anymore but about being “smart.”

The gourmet exodus: A culinary revolution in suburbia

This new suburban migration is not just about homes and workplaces. It’s also transforming the gastronomic landscape. Urban retail vacancies surpassed suburban ones in 2022, for the first time since 2013, according to the Wall Street Journal. Like ants to a picnic, restaurants and retailers are flocking to these thriving town centers.

Consider the salad chain, Sweetgreen. Once a downtown staple, it’s now making the suburbs its main stage with 50% of its locations nestled there. And it’s not just salad — even big-name chefs are choosing suburban towns for their next culinary adventures. It’s as if suburbia has become the new Manhattan for the restaurant world.

The face of suburbia is changing, too. Long associated with homogeneity, suburbs are now outpacing the national average for racial diversity, according to a Brookings Institution analysis. The stereotype of the white picket fence is slowly giving way to a vibrant mosaic of cultural diversity.

The city still stands: A reality check

Despite this suburban boom, downtowns aren’t ready to throw in the towel just yet. Yun reminds us that people are returning to city centers, even in the hybrid work era. And while suburbs close to cities are flourishing, demand in the far-out ‘burbs has dropped significantly since the pandemic’s peak.

So, in this grand game of real estate, it’s not about cities losing or suburbs winning. It’s about recognizing that the playing field is changing. As we embrace the flexibility that technology affords us, our living preferences are evolving in turn. As I tell my clients whom I helped figure out their return to office and hybrid work plans, you need to go where your employees are, rather than simply trying to impose a top-down command-control structure on them — at least, if you want to retain your top talent.

Related: You Should Let Your Team Decide Their Approach to Hybrid Work. A Behavioral Economist Explains Why and How You Should Do It.

Cognitive biases: Unseen forces shaping our choices

Underneath our decision-making processes, cognitive biases often run the show. They’re like puppeteers, subtly influencing our choices and judgments. Two key biases that might be influencing this suburban migration are the status quo bias and the anchoring bias.

First, let’s consider the status quo bias. This is our tendency to prefer things to stay the same by doing nothing or maintaining our current or previous decision. With the onset of the pandemic, the status quo was disrupted, forcing us to adapt to a new “normal” — working from home.

For many, this temporary change has transformed into a comfortable routine. The novelty has worn off, replaced by the status quo bias. We’ve become accustomed to the convenience, freedom and flexibility of remote work. The prospect of returning to our previous lifestyle — the daily commute, the rigid office hours — seems more daunting than sticking to the new status quo.

The anchoring bias, on the other hand, refers to our tendency to rely too heavily on the first piece of information we encounter (the “anchor”) when making decisions. When the pandemic hit, the “anchor” for many was the vision of a lifestyle free from daily commuting and office constraints. This initial impression has strongly influenced subsequent decisions about work and living arrangements.

Moreover, as we have seen suburban life flourish — with burgeoning retail spaces, diverse communities, and the promise of a more balanced lifestyle — these positive first impressions have only been reinforced. The anchor has been cast, and it’s landed firmly in suburban territory.

By understanding these cognitive biases, we can make more informed decisions about our work and lifestyle choices. As we navigate this era of change, it’s crucial to challenge our biases, question our assumptions, and remain open to all possibilities. Only then can we truly make the most of the opportunities that the future of work presents.

Conclusion

In the end, whether it’s the city’s siren call or the suburb’s sweet serenade that wins your heart, it’s clear that flexible work has forever changed the way we live. It’s reshaped not just our working lives, but our homes, our communities and our landscapes. The suburbs are having their moment in the sun, not as a retreat from the city, but as a compelling alternative.

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23andMe Health + Ancestry Service: Personal Genetic DNA Test Including Health Predispositions, Carrier Status, Wellness, and Trait Reports (Before You Buy See Important Test Info Below) https://cbomo.com/23andme-health-ancestry-service-personal-genetic-dna-test-including-health-predispositions-carrier-status-wellness-and-trait-reports-before-you-buy-see-important-test-info-below/ https://cbomo.com/23andme-health-ancestry-service-personal-genetic-dna-test-including-health-predispositions-carrier-status-wellness-and-trait-reports-before-you-buy-see-important-test-info-below/#respond Fri, 26 May 2023 03:47:34 +0000 https://cbomo.com/23andme-health-ancestry-service-personal-genetic-dna-test-including-health-predispositions-carrier-status-wellness-and-trait-reports-before-you-buy-see-important-test-info-below/
Price: [price_with_discount]
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Before Mailing, register your DNA test kit at 23andMe online otherwise, your saliva sample will NOT be processed. 23andMe Health + Ancestry Service features over 150 personalized genetic insights that can help make it easier for you to take action on your health. Using insights backed by the latest science, see how DNA can affect your chances of developing certain health conditions.* 23andMe’s Health + Ancestry Service provides genetic testing that includes: 10+ Health Predisposition* reports including: Type 2 Diabetes (Powered by 23andMe Research), Late-Onset Alzheimer’s Disease, Celiac Disease. 40+ Carrier Status* reports including: Cystic Fibrosis, Sickle Cell Anemia, Tay-Sachs Disease 5+ Wellness reports including: Deep Sleep, Lactose Intolerance, Genetic Weight. 23andMe Health + Ancestry Service includes our Ancestry + Traits Service with over 50 personalized DNA ancestry reports: Ancestry Composition, Ancestry Detail Reports, Maternal & Paternal Haplogroups, Neanderthal Ancestry. Opt-in to find and connect with relatives in the 23andMe database who share DNA with you. And opt-in to Family Tree, which is automatically built from your DNA relationships. Plus 30+ Trait reports including: Hair (Color, Curliness, Male Bald Spot), Taste & Smell (Sweet vs. Salty, Bitter), Facial Features (Cheek Dimples, Unibrow, Freckles). OTHER FEATURES: 23andMe’s at-home saliva test kits include tools that allow you to share, compare and discover more with friends and family. Trace DNA through your close family and explore the genetic similarities and differences between you and family members. At-home DNA test kit. Access to Health + Ancestry Service that can help give you a more complete picture of your health with insights from your genetic data. Personalized genetic insights and tools that can help make it easier for you to take action on your health. Includes FDA-authorized reports and full access to our Ancestry + Traits Service.
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Is American Airlines Group, Inc. (AAL) a Hot Buy? https://cbomo.com/is-american-airlines-group-inc-aal-a-hot-buy/ https://cbomo.com/is-american-airlines-group-inc-aal-a-hot-buy/#respond Thu, 25 May 2023 16:45:53 +0000 https://cbomo.com/is-american-airlines-group-inc-aal-a-hot-buy/ [ad_1]

American Airlines (AAL) reported robust financial performance in the fiscal first quarter, steadily improving its balance sheet. Moreover, as the U.S. airline industry is expected to achieve profits this year, investing in this stock might be an excellent choice despite the economic uncertainty. Read more.

Amidst lingering macroeconomic headwinds, leading carrier American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) has made significant strides in its financial performance. After four years of challenges, the company recently reported a profit for the first quarter of 2023, driven by robust demand for air travel.

In this article, I will discuss the recent financials and key factors influencing AAL’s performance to shed light on the investment prospects of this airline giant. But before that, let’s take a look at the outlook for the US airline industry this year.

According to the International Air Transport Association (IATA), the global aviation industry is anticipated to achieve a net profit of $4.70 billion in the current year, accompanied by a significant surge in passenger numbers, exceeding 4 billion travelers. The gradual relaxation of travel restrictions has unleashed a wave of pent-up demand, further propelling the industry’s recovery.

AAL generated record operating and free cash flow of $3.30 billion and $3 billion in the fiscal first quarter. Moreover, strengthening the balance sheet continues to be a top priority for the company. AAL is approximately 60% of the way to its goal of reducing total debt by $15 billion by the end of 2025.

In addition, based on demand trends and the current fuel price forecast, AAL expects its second-quarter 2023 adjusted earnings per share to be between $1.20 and $1.40. The company expects its full-year 2023 adjusted earnings per share to be between $2.50 and $3.50.

The stock has soared 8.5% year-to-date and 3.6% over the past month to close its last trading session at $13.80.

Here’s what could influence AAL’s performance in the upcoming months:

Robust Financial Performance

AAL’s passenger and other operating revenues rose 42% and 20.4% year-over-year to $ 11.10 billion and $863 million, respectively, in the fiscal first quarter that ended March 31, 2023. As a result, the company’s total operating revenue grew 37% year-over-year to $12.19 billion. Its operating income stood at $438 million, compared to an operating loss of $1.72 billion in the same quarter the previous year.

Moreover, excluding net special items, AAL reported a net income of $33 million, or $0.05 per share, compared to a net loss excluding net special items of $1.51 billion or $2.32 per share in the previous-year quarter.

Improving Balance Sheet

As of March 31, 2023, AAL reduced total debt by over $850 million in the last quarter. It also had reduced its total debt by more than $9 billion from peak levels in 2021.

Moreover, the company ended the quarter with approximately $14.4 billion of total available liquidity, comprised of cash and short-term investments plus undrawn capacity under revolving and other short-term credit facilities.

Lower-Than-Industry Valuation

In terms of forward non-GAAP P/E, AAL is currently trading at 5.23x, which is 67.4% lower than the industry average of 16.03x. Its forward non-GAAP PEG multiple of 0.05 is 96.7% lower than the industry average of 1.50x. Moreover, the stock’s forward P/S and EV/Sales multiple of 0.75 and 0.17 are lower than the respective industry averages of 1.60 and 1.27.

High Profitability

AAL’s trailing-12-month CAPEX/Sales of 4.98% is 71.1% higher than the industry average of 2.91%. Its trailing-12-month cash from operations of $4.32 is significantly higher than the $207 million industry average. Moreover, the stock’s trailing-12-month ROTA of 7% is 3.3% higher than the 6.78% industry average.

POWR Ratings Show Promise

AAL has an overall rating of B, which equates to a Buy in our POWR Ratings system. The POWR Ratings are calculated by considering 118 different factors, each weighted to an optimal degree.

Our proprietary rating system also evaluates each stock based on eight different categories. AAL has a B grade for Quality, in sync with its high profitability.

The stock has a B for Growth, consistent with its impressive topline results in the previous quarter. In addition, AAL’s lower-than-industry valuation multiples justify its B grade in Value.

AAL is ranked #8 among 27 stocks in the B-rated Airlines industry.

Click here to access additional AAL POWR ratings (Momentum, Stability, and Sentiment).

Bottom Line

AAL’s EBIT and EBITDA have grown at CAGRs of 25.2% and 12.6% over the past three years. It’s revenue and normalized net income have soared at CAGRs of 6.2% and 28.5% over the past three years.

Its domestic and short-haul international revenue continues to perform well, and the airline has seen noticeable strength in long-haul international demand and yield performance this year.

Additionally, the company’s optimistic projections in the upcoming quarter and the full year 2023 demonstrate confidence in its ability to sustain growth. Hence, I think the stock might be a hot buy now.

How Does American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) Stack Up Against Its Peers?

AAL has an overall POWR Rating of B, equating to a Buy rating. Check out these other stocks within the Airlines industry with an A (Strong Buy) and B (Buy) rating: Qantas Airways Limited (QABSY), Air France-KLM SA (AFLYY), and Deutsche Lufthansa AG (DLAKY).

What To Do Next?

Get your hands on this special report with 3 low priced companies with tremendous upside potential even in today’s volatile markets:

3 Stocks to DOUBLE This Year >


AAL shares were trading at $14.01 per share on Thursday morning, up $0.21 (+1.52%). Year-to-date, AAL has gained 10.14%, versus a 8.44% rise in the benchmark S&P 500 index during the same period.


About the Author: Kritika Sarmah

Her interest in risky instruments and passion for writing made Kritika an analyst and financial journalist. She earned her bachelor’s degree in commerce and is currently pursuing the CFA program. With her fundamental approach, she aims to help investors identify untapped investment opportunities.

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3 Chip Stocks to Buy This Week https://cbomo.com/3-chip-stocks-to-buy-this-week/ https://cbomo.com/3-chip-stocks-to-buy-this-week/#respond Wed, 24 May 2023 05:04:19 +0000 https://cbomo.com/3-chip-stocks-to-buy-this-week/ [ad_1]

Despite significant setbacks over the previous year, the semiconductor industry’s future appears bright. Also, given the government initiatives, we think quality chip stocks Analog Devices (ADI), Camtek (CAMT), and inTEST (INTT) might be worth buying. Read on.

Despite the short-term slump, the semiconductor industry’s long-term growth prospects remain bright. While semiconductor sales fell in the first quarter of 2023, sales increased by 0.3% in March 2023 compared to February 2023, the first month-over-month increase in a year, providing optimism for a rebound.

So, investors could take a look at quality chip stocks Analog Devices, Inc. (ADI), Camtek Ltd. (CAMT), and inTEST Corporation (INTT).

Governments worldwide are investing heftily to build self-sufficiency in the semiconductor and electronics supply chain. The Biden-Harris Administration announced the first CHIPS for America grant opportunity earlier this year in order to revitalize the American semiconductor industry.

In addition, the Biden administration proposed a new 25% investment tax credit for semiconductor production in the United States. The global semiconductor market is expected to grow at a 13.1% CAGR until 2032.

Investors’ interest in chip stocks is evident from the VanEck Vectors Semiconductor ETF’s (SMH) 20% returns over the past six months.

Let’s delve deeper into the fundamentals of the stocks mentioned above.

Analog Devices, Inc. (ADI)

ADI designs, manufactures, tests, and markets integrated circuits (ICs), software, and subsystems that leverage analog, mixed-signal, and digital signal processing technologies.

In terms of forward Price/Book multiple, ADI is trading at 2.62 is 29.8% lower than the industry average of 3.74. In addition, ADI’s forward EV/EBIT of 15.89x is 9.1% lower than the industry average of 17.47x.

ADI’s trailing-12-month ROTA of 4.57% is significantly higher than the industry average of 0.26%. Its trailing-12-month ROCE of 44.88% is significantly higher than the industry average of 0.71%.

ADI’s revenue increased 21.1% year-over-year to $3.25 billion in the fiscal first quarter, which ended January 28, 2023. Its adjusted operating income increased 35.1% year-over-year to $1.66 billion. Also, its EPS increased 41.8% year-over-year to $2.75.

The consensus revenue estimate of $12.72 billion for the year ending October 2023 represents a 5.9% increase year-over-year. Its EPS is expected to grow at 12.6% year-over-year to $10.78 for the same period. It surpassed EPS estimates in all four trailing quarters.

ADI’s shares have gained 17.8% over the past year to close the last trading session at $191.31.

ADI’s POWR Ratings reflect this promising outlook. The stock has an overall rating of B, equating to a Buy in our proprietary rating system. The POWR Ratings assess stocks by 118 different factors, each with its own weighting.

ADI also has a B grade for Momentum, Sentiment and Quality. It is ranked #25 out of 90 stocks in the Semiconductor & Wireless Chip industry. Click here for the additional POWR Ratings for Value, Stability, and Growth for ADI.

Camtek Ltd. (CAMT)

Headquartered in Migdal HaEmek, Israel, CAMT develops, manufactures, and sells inspection and metrology equipment. It serves various semiconductor industry segments and sells its products across the Asia Pacific, the U.S., and Europe.

CAMT’s forward EV/EBIT multiple of 13.48 is 28.3% lower than the industry average of 18.79. Its forward non-GAAP P/E multiple of 16.64 is 20.6% lower than the industry average of 20.95.

CAMT’s trailing-12-month ROCE of 21.92% is significantly higher than the 0.72% industry average. Its trailing-12-month ROTA of 11.53% is significantly higher than the 0.31% industry average.

CAMT’s total current assets came in at $561.57 million for the period that ended March 31, 2023, compared to $556.96 million for the period that ended December 31, 2022. Also, its current liabilities came in at $74.45 million, compared to $88.50 million for the same period.

Analysts expect CAMT’s revenue to increase 10.8% year-over-year to $323.53 million in 2024. Its EPS is expected to grow 10.5% to $1.86 in 2024. It surpassed EPS estimates in all four trailing quarters. The stock has gained 18.9% over the past six months to close its last trading session at $27.96.

It’s no surprise that CAMT has an overall B rating, equating to a Buy in our POWR Ratings system. It has an A grade for Momentum and a B for Stability and Quality. It is ranked #27 in the same industry.

Beyond what is stated above, we’ve also rated CAMT for Sentiment, Value, and Growth. Get all CAMT ratings here.

inTEST Corporation (INTT)

INTT supplies test and process solutions for use in manufacturing and testing in automotive, defense/aerospace, industrial, life sciences, security, and semiconductor markets worldwide. The company operates through three segments: Electronic Test; Environmental Technologies; and Process Technologies.

On April 18, 2023, INTT announced that its wholly owned subsidiary, inTEST Thermal Solutions, has become a distributor for Stellar Scientific (“Stellar”), a research and development-focused equipment provider to the scientific community.

Stellar Scientific and inTEST Thermal Solutions have partnered to offer a wide range of inTEST’s North Sciences Ultra-Low Temperature (ULT) biomedical freezers to clients. Importantly, the agreement broadens market opportunities for North Sciences products by using Stellar’s GSA contract to serve US government agencies.

INTT’s forward EV/Sales multiple of 1.84 is 33.3% lower than the industry average of 2.75. Its forward Price/Sales multiple of 1.79 is 32.3% lower than the industry average of 2.65.

INTT’s trailing-12-month ROCE of 17.19% is significantly higher than the 0.72% industry average. Its trailing-12-month ROTA of 9.43% is significantly higher than the 0.31% industry average.

INTT’s revenue came in at $31.92 million for the fiscal first quarter that ended March 31, 2023, up 32.5% year-over-year. Also, its non-GAAP EBITDA increased 126.1% year-over-year to $4.83 million. Its non-GAAP net earnings and EPS came in at $3.27 million and $0.29, up 158.2% and 141.7% year-over-year, respectively.

Street expects INTT’s revenue to increase 10.9% year-over-year to $129.61 million in 2023. Its EPS is expected to increase 17.2% year-over-year to $1.16 in 2023. It surpassed EPS estimates in three of four trailing quarters. Over the past year, the stock has gained 206.1% to close the last trading session at $21.52.

INTT’s strong fundamentals are reflected in its POWR Ratings. The stock has an overall rating of B, which equates to a Buy in our proprietary rating system.

It is ranked #26 in the same industry. It has an A grade for Momentum and a B for Growth. To see additional INTT’s rating for Value, Stability, Sentiment, and Quality, click here.

The Bear Market is NOT Over…

That is why you need to discover this timely presentation with a trading plan and top picks from 40 year investment veteran Steve Reitmeister:

REVISED: 2023 Stock Market Outlook > 


ADI shares were trading at $189.85 per share on Tuesday morning, down $1.46 (-0.76%). Year-to-date, ADI has gained 16.28%, versus a 9.69% rise in the benchmark S&P 500 index during the same period.


About the Author: Rashmi Kumari

Rashmi is passionate about capital markets, wealth management, and financial regulatory issues, which led her to pursue a career as an investment analyst. With a master’s degree in commerce, she aspires to make complex financial matters understandable for individual investors and help them make appropriate investment decisions.

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Are Stocks A Good Buy Now – Or A Good Bye ?? https://cbomo.com/are-stocks-a-good-buy-now-or-a-good-bye/ https://cbomo.com/are-stocks-a-good-buy-now-or-a-good-bye/#respond Mon, 01 May 2023 03:49:20 +0000 https://cbomo.com/are-stocks-a-good-buy-now-or-a-good-bye/ [ad_1]

Three Things To Consider When Considering Whether To Be Bullish or Bearish on the SPY.

Stocks continue to climb higher on the back of earnings that have beaten expectations so far (albeit lowered expectations). The NASDAQ 100 just closed at the highest level since last August. The S&P 500 (SPY) is on the brink of a breakout above $4200.  The VIX just closed below 16 for the first time in well over a year.

Whether or not stock markets rip even higher remains to be seen. Momentum can certainly take prices beyond reasonable levels and to extremes.

To quote Keynes- “Markets can remain irrational longer than investors can remain solvent”. In the short run, markets can and will do almost anything.

Over a little longer-term horizon, however, three things are worth considering before you consider getting long stocks at these levels. Let’s look back to about a year ago (11 months) when the S&P 500 was at a similar price to see what has changed in that time frame.

Implied Volatility

The two option montages below show option prices from Friday’s close and from the close on June 2, 2022.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Back on June 2, 2002, the SPY closed at $417.39. Friday it finished at $415.93, so pretty much the same price as Friday, just a touch lower (0.35%) now.

The June 16, 2023, options have 49 days to expiration (DTE). The July 15, 2022, options have 43 DTE. So, a little longer (6 days) for the 2023 options now.

Normally, puts that are closer to the money with more time to expiration are more expensive. But because the VIX -or implied volatility (IV) – is at lows, the puts now are actually much less expensive ($6.71 now versus $11.26 then).

All because of the big drop in IV from 24.49 to 15.54. The table below puts the comparison together, along with a % of strike (option price /$412 strike price) and downside breakeven ($412 strike price -option price).

 

 

 

So, a much lower cost for much better protection. Kind of like paying less insurance premium for a lower deductible with the exact same coverage.

Interest Rates

10-year Treasury yield was 2.913% on June 2, 2022. Friday it closed at 3.452%.

Fed Funds rate was under 1% back then, approaching 5% now.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

No doubt interest rates have risen sharply over the past 11 months.

Valuations

P/E was 21.51 June 2, 2022. P/E today is 24.14.-and nearing the richest multiple since December 2021. The last time it was above 24 was February 2 of this year which coincided with a significant top in the S&P 500.

                                        

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

FactSet mentioned that it is interesting to note that Amazon.com is also the largest contributor to earnings growth for the entire S&P 500 for Q1 and 2023. If this company were excluded, the (blended) earnings decline for the S&P 500 for Q1 2023 would increase to -5.1% from -3.7%, while the estimated earnings growth rate for the S&P 500 for CY 2023 would fall to 0.2% from 1.2%. Either way, earnings are still receding and don’t look to see much growth over the next few quarters.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Increased interest rates and lower earnings should lead to lower valuation multiples-and lower stock prices. Instead, stock markets are back approaching fresh new multi-year highs on valuation and all-time highs on price.

The belief in the Fed to start lowering rates sooner than projected and earnings to start improving more quickly than expected requires a pretty good leap of faith.

Traders and investors alike may want to hedge that faith a little. Buying some downside protection with puts that are the cheapest they have been in a long time makes a lot of sense – everything considered.

POWR Options

What To Do Next?

If you’re looking for the best options trades for today’s market, you should check out our latest presentation How to Trade Options with the POWR Ratings. Here we show you how to consistently find the top options trades, while minimizing risk.

If that appeals to you, and you want to learn more about this powerful new options strategy, then click below to get access to this timely investment presentation now:

How to Trade Options with the POWR Ratings

All the Best!

Tim Biggam

Editor, POWR Options Newsletter


SPY shares closed at $415.93 on Friday, up $3.52 (+0.85%). Year-to-date, SPY has gained 9.17%, versus a % rise in the benchmark S&P 500 index during the same period.


About the Author: Tim Biggam

Tim spent 13 years as Chief Options Strategist at Man Securities in Chicago, 4 years as Lead Options Strategist at ThinkorSwim and 3 years as a Market Maker for First Options in Chicago. He makes regular appearances on Bloomberg TV and is a weekly contributor to the TD Ameritrade Network “Morning Trade Live”. His overriding passion is to make the complex world of options more understandable and therefore more useful to the everyday trader.

Tim is the editor of the POWR Options newsletter. Learn more about Tim’s background, along with links to his most recent articles.

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St. George’s housing crunch leaves working professionals unable to buy a home — or even rent https://cbomo.com/st-georges-housing-crunch-leaves/ https://cbomo.com/st-georges-housing-crunch-leaves/#respond Mon, 24 Apr 2023 12:44:58 +0000 https://cbomo.com/st-georges-housing-crunch-leaves/ [ad_1]

St. George • A working professional who oversees pre-nursing programs at several colleges in central and southern Utah, Jennifer Liebert doesn’t fit the stereotype many have for people caught up in St. George’s housing crunch.

But despite Liebert’s high-profile job, $60,000 annual salary and life amidst bucolic redrock cliffs, she often feels St. George more resembles “Paradise Lost” than a slice of heaven.

“I have been priced out of paradise,” said Liebert, who shares a modest three-bedroom apartment near Interstate 15 with Greg Goff, her husband of one year, and still yearns to buy a home.

Alecia Ledward, a medical staff coordinator at Intermountain St. George Regional Hospital, lives in an affordable housing complex in Washington City. Since earning her bachelor’s degree, she now makes too much to qualify for the 1,000 square-foot, three-bedroom twin home she occupies with her four children but is allowed to stay. Alas, the single mother said, she makes too little to live anywhere else.

“If home prices were what they were when we moved here seven years ago, I could probably afford a home,” Ledward said. “But there is no way now. Homes have tripled in price and the interest rates are through the roof. Even if I were to find another place to rent, I would have to find a smaller two-bedroom [rental] and I still would pay more than what I pay now.”

Priced out of paradise

It isn’t any consolation, but Liebert and Ledward are not alone. Many others in the St. George area are facing a similar dilemma.

That’s because the median family income for a family of four in Washington County in 2022 was $83,900, which would qualify for a $390,000 loan, according to the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development. But the average price of a home during the third quarter of last year was $537,000, according to a study by the Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute at the University of Utah.

Finding a home for less than $400,000 is not as rare as the proverbial needle in the haystack, real estate agents attest, but it is difficult. Only 215 of the 1,303 homes listed in Washington County last month were affordable to someone making the median family income, according to Washington County Board of Realtors data.

Robert Bolar, a top real estate agent with Summit Sotheby’s International Realty in St. George, said the county’s housing supply has not kept pace with the area’s rapid growth, leading to a shortage of homes for sale.

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“With a high demand for homes and a limited supply, buyers are often faced with multiple offers for the same property,” Bolar said. “This can drive up the price of homes and make it difficult for some buyers to afford a home.”

Finding an affordable home or apartment to rent also poses a challenge. According to a recent report by Atwood Innovation Plaza, a full-time worker in the county had to earn $20.21 an hour to afford to rent an average two-bedroom apartment without exceeding 30% of their income. But the average hourly income for workers in the area is just $14.19. The waitlist to get into lower-income housing in some complexes can be two years or more.

While the difficulty Liebert and Ledward have had finding affordable housing is not unusual, their college degrees and circumstances are at odds with the stereotypes or labels that many people apply to those who can’t afford to buy or rent a home or apartment.

While some hold NIMBY(not in my backyard) notions that lower-income housing raises crime rates and lowers property values, housing experts say that is simply not true.

Shirlayne Quayle, housing strategies and policy manager for St. George, said people caught up in the county’s housing crunch are typically educators, nurses, medical technicians, first responders and service workers. When affordable housing is short, she said, communities suffer.

(Jennifer Liebert) Jennifer Liebert.

“We are not just selling those who can’t find housing short, we are selling our entire community short,” Quayle added. “When you look at our service workers — whether they be in our restaurants, health care facilities or financial or educational institutions — the ripple effect of having people serve in jobs in places where they can’t afford to live impacts our quality of life in a negative way.”

Quayle said many who struggle to find housing have compelling stories and have overcome daunting challenges to make significant contributions to the county’s quality of life.

A nurse struggles to find a home

Liebert, for example, fled an abusive relationship when she left Idaho in 2010. She sold the Nintendo Wii the family had received for Christmas and used the money to buy a broken-down station wagon. With the help of an aunt, Liebert was able to do some maintenance on the car and get it running well enough to pile her three daughters in the vehicle and drive to St. George.

Upon their arrival, the family was able to stay two weeks with a relative in a retirement community. Liebert later sought sanctuary in the area’s homeless shelter at the time, which she said was ridden with bedbugs and was unsafe for children.

“The people at the shelter told me I would have to give my children vitamin K so they didn’t get bit as much, and I would have to pack their clothes in black garbage sacks and take the clothes with me every time I left the shelter,” Liebert recalled. “They also told me my children wouldn’t necessarily be safe at the shelter because some people were mentally ill or had problems, so it would be best if I didn’t sleep.”

Fortunately, Liebert was able to find safer accommodations at the DOVE Center, which is a shelter for people escaping domestic abuse and sexual violence. She then enrolled at then-Dixie State College and worked two and three jobs and used her student loans to pay for an apartment. In 2015, she earned a bachelor’s degree in nursing and followed that by earning a master’s degree in nursing education from Western Governors University.

Today, her daughters are grown and on their own. She has a good salary and she and her husband, who has a bachelor’s degree in environmental science but works as a landscaper, are looking to buy a home.

But due to a car payment and college loan repayment, the maximum amount the loan officer said they could qualify for is $300,000 — and that was dependent on listing their car loan under someone else’s name.

“We can’t afford to buy and live here in St. George but we really can’t afford to go anywhere else because our jobs are here,” Liebert lamented.

A working mom, short of the American dream

Ledward and her husband at the time moved with their four children to St. George in 2016.

When Ledward’s husband lost his job during the COVID-19 pandemic, the couple scrambled to find affordable housing, which was in short supply. She and her husband later divorced and Ledward and her four children have been on her own — she hasn’t collected any child support — ever since.

Carrying 20 hours a semester, Ledward earned a bachelor’s degree in population health with an emphasis in health care administration at Utah Tech University. Her previous job at the Southwest Utah Public Health Department, which paid $17 an hour, enabled her to secure affordable housing.

“When I separated from my husband, I was employed with the health department and my income was low enough with the number of children I had that I was able to get into low-income housing,” she recalled. “It was a miracle because the waiting lists for [that housing] are often two to three years.

“There were so many people who had lost their jobs due to COVID, they couldn’t qualify for low-income housing because you had to have employment,” she added. “So I was next on the list.”

Ledward said her family is a bit cramped but comfortable in their apartment, and she gives the neighborhood high marks for its beauty, safety and cleanliness. Still, she said her circumstances are challenging. She works long hours in her current job and, despite her higher salary, can’t afford to live somewhere else or buy a home.

She is working on a master’s degree in healthcare administration to bolster her ability to support her family.

“I’m exhausted,” she admitted. “The way that life is now with rising food and housing prices, people don’t see the food insecurity experienced by people like us. At one point, we lived off Ramen noodles for six months. We had nothing.”

That said, homeownership — an integral part of the American dream — is still on her bucket list.

“My goal is to have a simple home in a nice neighborhood, nothing more than 1,300 or 1,400 square feet – just big enough to fit my family,” she said. “I don’t have huge expectations. I just want something to call my own and that is stable for my kids.”

Quayle said the experiences related by Liebert, Ledward show that affordable housing is now a problem that is plaguing the middle class as well as lower-income residents.

“We can say, ‘Hey wait, these people are actually my people. They just have different needs than I have right now.’” she said. ” ‘Any of us could lose our job and be in that boat, too.’ “

Editor’s note • This story is available to Salt Lake Tribune subscribers only. Thank you for supporting local journalism.

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Genuine Parts Company Is Genuinely A Good Buy  https://cbomo.com/genuine-parts-company-is-genuinely-a-good-buy/ https://cbomo.com/genuine-parts-company-is-genuinely-a-good-buy/#respond Fri, 21 Apr 2023 08:51:59 +0000 https://cbomo.com/genuine-parts-company-is-genuinely-a-good-buy/ [ad_1]

Genuine Parts Company stock price

Genuine Parts Company (NYSE: GPC) has had its share of ups and downs, but along the way, it has proven the value of Dividend Kings. Dividend Kings and their 50+ year history of distribution increases have proved an ability to operate in all markets, a willingness to change with the times, and the foresight to manage the business to generate long-term returns for shareholders.

In the case of Genuine Parts Company, a multi-year transformation from an auto-parts manufacturer into a global auto and industrial parts manufacturer sustains business and high-single-digit growth and powers an attractive dividend. The significant takeaway from the Q1 results is that margin improved, earnings were better than expected, growth is in the forecast, and the dividend is safe. 

Genuine Parts Company Revs Higher On Solid Outlook 

Genuine Parts Company had a strong quarter driven by results in both segments and most operating regions. The company reported a record $5.8 billion in revenue, up 8.9% compared to last year, and beat the Marketbeat.com consensus by 200 basis points. The strength was driven by the newer Industrial segment, which grew by 11.9%, while the legacy Automotive segment grew by 7%. 

The margin news is also good. The company lost margin in the Automotive group, but the 60 basis point decline was offset by a 230 bps improvement in the Industrial segment. This led to a 24% increase in net income, 15% adjusted, and earnings 430 basis points better than expected. Turning to the guidance, the outlook is equally robust.

The company reaffirmed its expectation for revenue growth in the range of 4% to 6% but raised the guidance for earnings. The company expects earnings to top the previous high-end and for cash-from-ops to come near $1.35 billion. 

“We are pleased with the solid start to 2023 and continue to expect another strong year of profitable growth. Our updated outlook for the full year reflects our confidence in our strategic plans and ability to execute through continued economic uncertainty. We believe GPC is well-positioned with the financial strength and flexibility to support our growth plans and provide for disciplined capital allocation and enhanced shareholder value,” Mr. Donahue concluded.

Genuine Parts Company, You Pay A Premium But Get A Deal 

The valuation of GPC stock is a bit high at 18X earnings, but it’s not astronomical, and you get a lot for the money. The company’s cash flow is sufficient to cover the 2.28% dividend yield while buying back shares, managing debt, and investing in the business. The payout ratio is low at 43%, considering the number of distribution increases and suggests this company could become a King twice over. The distribution growth rate isn’t high, but 6% CAGR is also better than what most Dividend Kings are running. 

The analysts are holding the stock but see it trading slightly lower than now at $168. The caveat is that the most recent report came out just a few weeks before the release and upgraded the stock to Buy. That rating is from Truist, which sees the market trading at $186 or about 10% above the post-release price action. If that sentiment is echoed now that the report is out; this stock could complete its reversal. However, the market faces resistance at the $170 level.  In this scenario, the stock may trend sideways at current levels until later in the year. If the market can get above $170, it may increase to $180. 

Genuine Parts Company Stock Chart

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Why This Key Buy Signal Is Making Me Nervous About Current Market Conditions… https://cbomo.com/why-this-key-buy-signal-is-making-me-nervous-about-current-market-conditions/ https://cbomo.com/why-this-key-buy-signal-is-making-me-nervous-about-current-market-conditions/#respond Sun, 26 Mar 2023 12:18:09 +0000 https://cbomo.com/why-this-key-buy-signal-is-making-me-nervous-about-current-market-conditions/ [ad_1]

This week, we had the latest meeting by the Federal Reserve. The central bank raised interest rates by 25 basis points, and indicated that we’re likely close to a pause. You’d imagine the stock market (SPY) would cheer… But I’m seeing something else that’s making me nervous. Read on.

(Please enjoy this updated version of my weekly commentary originally published March 23rd, 2023 in the POWR Stocks Under $10 newsletter).

Market Commentary

So, in addition to the POWR services I run, I also head up this options trading newsletter called Income Trader.

And our picks are based on this amazing, proprietary, Charles Dow award-winning algorithm. And this week, there was something bizarre about all of the “buy” signals it gave…

About half of the tickers on were short ETFs.

Now, for this algorithm, when a stock is on a “buy” signal, it’s usually an indication that its price has a higher likelihood of rising in the near future. It’s not a guarantee by any means, but it’s what the numbers have shown over the course of a decade.

And while we definitely have ETFs tracking various asset classes (bonds, gold, etc.) pop into our list from time to time… we don’t ever see short/inverse/leveraged tickers.

Even in previous downturns, like what we saw in 2022, I don’t think I’ve seen them pop up.

I’ll be honest; I’m not exactly sure what it means…

But this week, we had buys on inverse funds for a number of major groups — large-cap stocks, mid-cap stocks, the Russell, the S&P 500 (SPY), real estate, China, European stocks, consumer discretionary, emerging markets — and that doesn’t feel… good.

My take on this is that it is a weird time in the market. People are nervous and potentially bearish, and we’re seeing that reflected in that algorithm’s results.

And I’m not usually one to point fingers… but I think a lot of that nervousness is stemming directly from the Federal Reserve’s latest actions.

Back in 2022, it felt like the Fed had a straightforward goal and a straightforward plan: We’re going to curb inflation by raising interest rates.

At the time, our biggest fear was that we’d land in a recession… and there were many other voices and indicators confirming that potentiality.

But we’re now a year into that journey, and we’ve all the Fed has managed to do is make a small dent in inflation and break a few banks.

The labor market is still unexpectedly tight. And the central bank’s plan, which once felt very predictable, seems all over the place.

What will rates look like in three months? We can’t know for certain, because Powell’s plan is “it depends on what the latest economic numbers look like.” It’s a very reactionary plan.

At this latest meeting, Fed members ultimately agreed to raise interest rates by 25 basis points, although Powell indicated in the press conference that they had been considering a 50-bps hike until the bank crisis came into focus.

Speaking of, Powell shed a little light on that as well, saying there were only a few problem banks but that the rest of the financial system was “sound and resilient.”

A lot of financial new outlets are focusing on the idea that we only have one more rate hike in our future, as a key line about “ongoing increases” has been removed from its official statement.

The median for their plot forecast also indicates only one more hike this year.

Even so, stocks are back up again today and the S&P 500 (SPY) is trading back above its 200-day moving average, which we normally see when things are bullish.

But I’m feeling skeptical.

Maybe it’s because I’ve been trying to help our 20-year-old nanny sort through dozens of Taylor Swift ticket “sellers” that are actually just scam artists trying to steal her hard-earned money. (Seriously, what is wrong with people?)

Maybe it’s because I just had to file an FTC fraud report on a company purporting to sell refurbished Herman Miller chairs.

Maybe it’s because my trading algorithm is doing some truly bizarre things.

Maybe it’s because I can’t picture how one more 25-bps hike is going to suddenly slay the inflation beast (still at more than 6%) or how Powell can downplay the banking system’s problems even after the recent collapse of Credit Suisse, a global systemically important bank (G-SIB).

I’m not usually a pessimistic person, but I have a feeling we’re in for another pullback… here’s hoping I’m wrong.

Conclusion

At this moment, we have about 50% of our portfolio in cash, and 50% invested. Right now, that’s the best position we can be in during this moment.

I’ve heard some analysts say we’re not going to see a big capitulation moment because all of those potential “sellers” have been on the sidelines for months. Based on everyone I know… that sounds pretty on the nose.

We’ll continue keeping an eye on the market, but I believe there’s going to be a continued stutter step over the next handful of weeks until we figure out what’s actually next.

What To Do Next?

If you’d like to see more top stocks under $10, then you should check out our free special report:

3 Stocks to DOUBLE This Year

What gives these stocks the right stuff to become big winners, even in this brutal stock market?

First, because they are all low priced companies with the most upside potential in today’s volatile markets.

But even more important, is that they are all top Buy rated stocks according to our coveted POWR Ratings system and they excel in key areas of growth, sentiment and momentum.

Click below now to see these 3 exciting stocks which could double or more in the year ahead.

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All the Best!

Meredith Margrave
Chief Growth Strategist, StockNews
Editor, POWR Stocks Under $10 Newsletter


SPY shares closed at $395.75 on Friday, up $2.58 (+0.66%). Year-to-date, SPY has gained 3.88%, versus a % rise in the benchmark S&P 500 index during the same period.


About the Author: Meredith Margrave

Meredith Margrave has been a noted financial expert and market commentator for the past two decades. She is currently the Editor of the POWR Growth and POWR Stocks Under $10 newsletters. Learn more about Meredith’s background, along with links to her most recent articles.

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